The GIIPS crisis in the context of the European Monetary Union: a political economy approach
Abstract
The GIIPS crisis (Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain) has been deep and resistant. To date there have not been clear signs of consistent recovery from these economies, with the only exception being Ireland, that has experimented with a longer lasting economic recovery process in recent times. The aim of this paper is to discuss the GIIPS crisis in light of the European integration project. It is argued that this crisis has resulted from two simultaneous processes: on the one hand, it has resulted from the growing internal imbalances that occurred over the economic expansion period; on the other hand, it has resulted from the rigidities imposed by the institutional arrangement of the European Monetary Union. It has been concluded that the consistent economic recovery of these economies requires an aggregate demand stimulus for them, a condition that in turn requires the implementation of countercyclical economic policies.
Downloads
References
Aglietta, M. (2013). Zona do Euro: Qual o Futuro? São Paulo: Editora Ideias & Letras.
Alesina, A., Barro, R., & Tenreyro, S. (2002). Optimum Currency Areas (NBER Working Papers No. 9072).
Amado, A. M., & Mollo, M. de L. R. (2011). Ortodoxia e heterodoxia na discussão sobre integração regional: a origem do pensamento da CEPAL e seus desenvolvimentos posteriores. Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo), 34(1), 129–156. https://doi.org/10.1590/s0101-41612004000100005
Arestis, P. (2007). What is the New Consensus in Macroeconomics? In P. Arestis (Ed.), Is There a New Consensus in Macroeconomics? (pp. 22–42). New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Arestis, P., & Sawyer, M. (2011). The Design Faults of the Economic and Monetary Union. Journal of Contemporary European Studies, 19(1), 21–32.
Arestis, P., McCauley, K., & Sawyer, M. C. (1999). From Common Market to Emu: A Historical Perspective of European Economic and Monetary Integration. Ssrn. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.156554
Athanassiou, E. (2012). Household debt and domestic demand: Greece versus other Euro Zone economics. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 3(10), 157–166.
Bakker, A. (1996). The liberalization of capital movements in Europe: the Monetary Committee and financial integration, 1958-1994. Amsterdam: Free University. Retrieved from http://books.google.ca/books?id=zEGxAAAAIAAJ
Belluzzo, L. (2013). Prefacio. In A. Martins & M. Cintra (Eds.), As Transformacções no Sistema Monetario Internacional (pp. 9–18). Brasília: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica.
Bernanke, B. S., & Mishkin, F. S. (2011). Inflation Targeting: A New Framework for Monetary Policy? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11(2), 97–116. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.11.2.97
Bibow, J. (2012). The Euro Debt Crisis and Germany’s Euro Trilemma (Levy Economics Institute Working Paper Collection No. 721). Levy Economics Institute Working Paper Collection.
Bibow, J. (2013). Germany and the Euroland Crisis: The Making of a Vulnerable Haven. Ssrn. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2285612
Bresser-Pereira, L. C., & Rossi, P. (2015). Sovereignty, the exchange rate, collective deceit, and the euro crisis. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 38(3), 355–375. https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.2015.1087807
Corden, W. (1972). International Trade Theory and Policy. England: Edward Elgar Publishing Limited.
De Grauwe, P. (2010). The Financial Crisis and the Future of the Eurozone. Bruges European Economic Policy Briefings (Vol. 21).
De Grauwe, P., & Mongelli, F. P. (2005). Endogeneities of optimum currency areas - what brings countries sharing a single currency closer together? ECB Working Paper Series. Retrieved from http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp468.pdf%5Cnhttp://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=eoh&AN=0820541&site=ehost-live
Delors Committee. (1989). Report on Economic and Monetary Union in the European Community. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities.
Dullien, S. (2010). Integração Produtiva na União Europeia: Uma Perspectiva Alemã. In R. Alvarez, M. Wohlers, & R. Baumann (Eds.), Integracão Produtiva: Caminhos para o Mercosul (pp. 156–219). Brasilia: Agência Brasileira de Desenvolvimento Industrial.
Eichengreen, B. (2000). A Globalização do Capital. São Paulo: Editora 34.
Eichengreen, B. (2007). The European Economy Since 1945: Coordinated Capitalism and Beyond. Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press.
European Commission (1990) “One Market, One Money: an Evaluation of the Potential Benefits and Costs of Forming an Economic and Monetary Union” European Economy, n. 44, 341p.
European Statistical System (Eurostat) (2017) Database. Brussels: European Commission.
Fitzgerald, J. (2014). Ireland’s recovery from crisis. CESifo Forum, 15(2), 8–13.
Flassbeck, H., & Lapavitsas, C. (2013). The Systemic Crisis of the Euro - True Causes and Effective Therapies. Berlin: Rosa Luxemburg Stiftung.
Frankel, J. A., & Rose, A. K. (1997). Is EMU more justifiable ex post than ex ante? European Economic Review, 41(3–5), 753–760. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0014-2921(97)00034-2
Emerson, M., Gros, D., & Italianer, A. (1992). One Market, One Money: An Evaluation of the Potential Benefits and Costs of Forming an Economic and Monetary Union. Oxford University Press.
European Commission (1990). One Market, One Money: an Evaluation of the Potential Benefits and Costs of Forming an Economic and Monetary Union. (European Economy, n. 44). Dictorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs of the Commission of European Communities.
Goodfriend, M., & King, R. (1997). The New Neoclassical Synthesis and the Role of Monetary Policy. In B. Bernanke & J. Rotemberg (Eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual (pp. 231–296). Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Guttmann, R., & Plihon, D. (2010). Consumer debt and financial fragility. International Review of Applied Economics, 24(3), 269–283. https://doi.org/10.1080/02692171003701420
Hein, E. (2012). The Macroeconomics of Finance-Dominated Capitalism – and its Crisis. Northampton: Edward Elgar. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781781009161
Helleiner, E. (1994). States and the Reemergence of Global Finance: from Bretton Woods to the 1990’s. Ithaca and London: Cornwell University Press.
International Monetary Fund (IMF) (2017) World Economic Outlook Database. Washington, DC: IMF.
Ishiyama, Y. (1975). The Theory of Optimum Currency Areas: a Survey (IMF Staff Papers No. 22).
Issing, O., Angeloni, I., Gaspar, V., & Tristani, O. (2004). Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: Strategy and Decision Making at the European Central Bank. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Judt, T. (2017). Postwar: A History of Europe Since 1945. New York: Penguin Press. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781912281541
Keynes, J. M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. New York, NY: Harcourt, Brace.
Kydland, F. E., & Prescott, E. C. (1977). Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans. Journal of Political Economy, 85(3), 473–491. https://doi.org/10.1086/260580
Minsky, H. (1982). Can “It’’’ Happen Again? Essays on Instability and Finance.” New York: M. E. Sharpe.
Minsky, H. (1986). Stabilizing an Unstable Economy. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Miranda, J. (2014). Três Ensaios sobre a Integração Europeia. In A. Biancarelli, A. Calixtre, & M. Cintra (Eds.), Presente e Futuro do Desenvolvimento Brasileiro (pp. 543–594). Brasilia: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada.
OECD (2016). OECD Factbook 2015-2016: Economic, Environmental and Social Statistics. Paris: OECD Publishing.
Oliveira, G., & Wolf, P. (2017). The Euro and the Recent European Crisis vis-à-vis the Gold Standard and the Great Depression: Institutionalities, Specificities and Interfaces. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, 37(1), 147–166.
Oliveira, G., Deos, S., & Wolf, P. (2012). A Crise Europeia e os Limites do Ajuste Deflacionario. In D. Modenesi, D. Prates, J. Oreiro, L. F. Paula, & M. Resende (Eds.), Sistema Financeiro e Política Econômica em uma Era de Instabilidade (pp. 30–42). Rio de Janeiro: Elsevier.
Oliveira, G., Deos, S., & Wolf, P. (2014). Integração Regional e Convergência Econômica Real: Lições da Experiência Europeia. Analise Econômica, 32(61), 7–40.
Priewe, J. (2012). European Imbalances and the Crisis of the European Monetary Union. In From Crisis to Growth? - Conference of Research Network Macroeconomics and Macroeconomic Policies (FMM). Berlin.
Robson, P. (1998). The Economics of International Integration (4th ed.). London: New Fetter Lane.
Schauble, W. (2011, September 5). Why austerity is the Only Cure for the Eurozone. Financial Times, September.
Scheller, H. (2006). O Banco Central Europeu - História, Papel e Funções. Frankfurt: Banco Central Europeu.
Tavlas, G. S. (1993). The ‘New’ Theory of Optimum Currency Areas. World Economy, 16(6), 663–685. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9701.1993.tb00189.x
Toporowski, J. (2013). International credit, financial integration and the euro. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 37(3), 571–584. https://doi.org/10.1093/cje/bet008
Werner Report (1970). Report to the Council and the Commission on the Realization by Stages of Economic and Monetary Union in the Community. Luxembourg: Commission of the European Communities.
Copyright (c) 2019 Nicholas Magnus Deleuse Blikstad, Giuliano Contento de Oliveira
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
- Authors keep copyrights and concede to the Journal the right to the first publication, with the paper simultaneously licenced under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License which allows recognised author and journal work sharing.
- Authors are authorized to assume additional contracts separately, for non-exclusive versions of the paper published in this journal (e.g.: publish in an instituional repository or as a book chapter) with the recogntion of authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are allowed (and are estimulated) to publish and distribute their work online (e.g.: in institutional repositories or at their personal websites) at any point before or during the editorial process, once this may generate productive alterations on the paper, as well as increse the factor of impact and quotation of the published paper (please, see Free Access Effect)